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Fantasy Front Office

January 2, 2014

Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet | Playoffs Week 1 players to target and avoid

Fantasy football doesn’t have to be over until the final whistle of the Super Bowl.

Many fantasy owners like to play in playoff leagues. Many more are embracing the world of daily fantasy sports.

Some experts believe smaller player pools increase volatility, meaning it’ll take more skill AND luck to defeat foes in something like this week’s divisional round, when only eight teams will take the field.

If that’s the case, then I say embrace the volatility.

You want a few sure things, but when faced with a large amount of volatility, aim for players who could provide extreme value.

For those of you in playoff leagues, you’ll also need to consider how long you think a team will last.

So, let’s break a few things down:

 

Super Bowl odds

Here are the odds that the playoff teams make the Super Bowl according to ESPN sports betting guru R.J. Bell. Teams with asterisks are playing this weekend:

Seahawks, 2/1

Broncos, 5/2

Patriots, 7/1

*49ers, 7/1

Panthers 10/1

*Bengals, 16/1

*Packers, 16/1

*Saints, 25/1

*Colts, 25/1

*Eagles, 25/1

*Chiefs, 30/1

*Chargers, 40/1

 

Using this information, we can see that one team playing this weekend, San Francisco, is expected to make it to the NFC Championship. That means, Colin Kaepernick, Frank Gore, Anquan Boldin and Vernon Davis could potentially play more games than any other team.

They also have a decent matchup against the Packers this week. Green Bay has allowed the 10th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and the third-most to opposing running backs.

After their bye weeks, the Seahawks, Broncos, Patriots and Panthers will be back on the field next week. The Seahawks and Broncos are the favorites to advance to the Super Bowl. So increase value for players from those teams.

That Seahawks 2/1 number is pretty strong. Put extra value in Steven Hauschka and their D/ST.

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Fantasy Front Office