Marshawn Lynch – Lynch is the most expensive running back this week. He’s right up there with Gore in red zone attempts (3.5) and has a better TD average (0.75 per game). He also has a much better matchup — second only to New England’s – based on statistical averages.
*Just like with the quarterbacks, I’ve got no RBs for you to avoid because the prices seem fair … unless you were considering rostering Pierre Thomas this week. If you were, thanks for contributing to our bankrolls.
Demaryius Thomas, Wes Welker and Eric Decker – Let’s start with the avoid players. I’m only partially kidding. I just never know which of these guys to start on a given week. Welker’s the most targeted in the red zone, but he’s coming back from a concussion. Their numbers are like splitting hairs anyway. In the red zone, per game: Welker sees 1.77 targets and 0.69 TDs; Decker sees 1.44 targets and .44 TDs; and Thomas gets 1.19 targets and .44 TDs. Demaryius is the most expensive WR this week, Decker is seventh-most. Welker is 11th-most. Even with the concussion concern, Welker’s price and red zone usage give him a slight edge if you have to start a Denver wide receiver. Who am I kidding? Thomas is the most imposing, most explosive wide receiver left in the playoffs. He’s making at least one of my rosters.
Keenan Allen – Allen disappointed last week with just two catches for 21 yards in the win over the Bengals. His salary dropped to $6,700, which seems absurdly low considering the Chargers’ garbage time potential this week. I don’t think he’ll drop 50 points on us this week, but his salary and potential feel like T.Y. Hilton from last week.
T.Y. Hilton – Speaking of Hilton, his price skyrocketed after last week. I’m afraid to put much stock in Andrew Luck or Hilton this week because Belichick has had all week to figure out how to stop the Colts’ two best players.