DANVILLE — Brian Dozier raised a few eyebrows last year with an 18-homer, 16-steal campaign.
Players with a power/steals combo always draw some attention. His .244 average, an increase from his .234 in 2012, will probably scare away more than a few owners.
Don’t shriek and pull away in terror.
Dozier’s batting average on balls in play was .278 last year, the 26th-worst among qualifying batters, indicating the potential for an uptick in average.
Over three levels of minor league ball in 2011, Dozier posted BABIPs of .330, .350 and .357.
The following year, in triple-A, he posted a .267. Yes, his BABIP has decreased as the competition level has increased. He also swings and misses a lot, with a 19.3% K rate in 2013.
However, Dozier scored 72 runs and drove in 66 last season. If he can come close to matching his counting stats from last season –a lot of projection models think he can – and can get a little lucky with the batting average, we’re looking at a top-10 second baseman you can swipe in one of your last few picks in the draft.