The Daily Item, Sunbury, PA

Fantasy Front Office

December 4, 2013

Week 14 fantasy football cheatsheet | Playoffs!?

SHOOTOUT OF THE WEEK: Detroit at Philadelphia

Vegas is predicting arcade football in Philadelphia this week. The Eagles are favored by 3 in the highest-scoring game of the week (over/under of 54 points) So they're predicting 28-25-ish. That’s a lot of points to go around on two teams with piles of fantasy talent. Eagles and Lions fans should be ecstatic in what is the first week of playoffs for many of you or a win-and-your in week for others. Over the last five weeks, the Eagles have allowed the fourth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. The Lions have allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers over the same stretch. You’re not going to bench LeSean McCoy this week, but be warned, no team has been stingier to opposing running backs than the Lions, who have allowed 7.7 points per game in their last four games.

CASH: Brian Hartline, WR, MIA

I’m blown away that Hartline is still available in 40% of Yahoo leagues. He is a PPR monster, guaranteed to approach the 10-point range every week in that format. Last week, however, he popped a 30-burger. This week, he faces the Steelers, who have allowed an average of 28.9 fantasy points to opposing wide receivers in the last five weeks, the fourth-most in the league.

TRASH: Denver wide receivers

What? No, I am not insane! Here’s the deal, you can’t bench Demaryius Thomas or Wes Welker and probably not Eric Decker, just understand that the Titans have allowed a measly 9.9 fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers in the last five weeks. Led by Peyton Manning, that offense should easily outperform expectations. But let’s say that’s good for triple the expectations. That could mean something like 13 points for Demaryius Thomas, 9 for Wes Welker and 7 for Eric Decker in non-PPRs. Obviously, give them some slight bumps in PPR and I wouldn't be surprised if one of them scores an extra TD, but good luck trying to predict who that would be. I won’t be surprised if they disappoint. Tennessee has been more susceptible to running backs and have given up the second most average points to opposing kickers.

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